Folks sure like to predict things. Sometimes the predictions come true, often times they don’t. Predicting can be very un-predictable.
I came across these quotes about computing and technology from years past.
“No one will need more than 637KB of memory for a personal computer” by Bill Gates (Currently new PCs use around 524288KB+).
“There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home.” by Ken Olson of Digital Equipment Corporation in 1977.
“Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.” by Popular Mechanics, 1949.
“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers. ” by Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.
“But what ... is it good for?” (referring to microchip) by an Engineer at IBM, 1968.
“ [By 1985], machines will be capable of doing any work Man can do. ” by Nobel Laureate, Herbert A. Simon.
“Everything that can be invented has been invented.” by Charles H. Duell commissioner of the US Patent Office in 1899.
We seem to have a fascination with trying to predict things. Football pregame shows always include predictions. ESPN’s Bowl predictions change every week.
Las Vegas makes a lot of money off people who make predictions.
It’s all so very predictable.
John W. Scherer
John is CEO and founder of Video Professor, Inc.
You can reach him at firstname.lastname@example.org